Yankees vs. Rangers odds, prediction, line: 2026 MLB picks for May 7 from proven

AAS Editorial Team

Yankees vs. Rangers odds, prediction, line: 2026 MLB picks for May 7 from proven

The Texas Rangers look to make it two in a row when they battle the New York Yankees in the third and final game of the series on Thursday afternoon. Texas is coming off a 6-1 win on Wednesday.

Series Overview

The Rangers (17-19) have lost three of four games and hold a 10-11 record on the road this season. The Yankees (25-12) have won five of their last six games and own a 13-6 record at home in 2026.

First pitch from Yankee Stadium in New York is set for 12:35 p.m. ET. The Yankees lead the all-time series 423-299 and have won four of the last six meetings.

Betting Odds

New York is a -139 favorite on the money line (risk $139 to win $100). The over/under is set at 8 runs.

Key Matchup Prediction

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated every game 10,000 times and is projecting Over 8 combined runs.

The Over has hit in five of the last six New York games and in 11 of the past 18 home games. The Over has also hit in eight of the last 13 Texas games when the line was at 8 or 8.5.

The model projects 8.9 combined runs as the Over hits in 50.4% of simulations.

Player Projections

SportsLine's model projects 1.6 total bases or more for the Rangers' Corey Seager, Josh Jung and Brandon Nimmo.

The Yankees are projected to get over 1.5 total bases from Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, Ben Rice and Giancarlo Stanton.

More MLB News: