Game Details: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | Monday, May 4 | 6:10 p.m. ET | Comerica Park, Detroit
The Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers begin a three-game series on Monday, with the teams heading in opposite directions. Boston (13-21) has lost five of six, averaging just 1.6 runs per game during the slump. Detroit (18-17) has won four of five, with a pitching staff that's given up 1-2 runs in three of four.
Pitching Matchup
Left-handers face off on Monday, as Payton Tolle (0-1, 3.38 ERA) goes for the Sox, while the Tigers counter with Tyler Holton (0-1, 5.27 ERA), who is replacing two-time defending AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal (3-2, 2.70), who was scratched from today's start and will have elbow surgery.
Betting Odds
The Tigers vs. Red Sox odds have shifted dramatically, with Boston now the slight -110 favorite and Detroit at -109 after the Tigers were originally heavy favorites. The over/under is 8.
- Red Sox vs. Tigers money line: Red Sox -110, Tigers -109
- Red Sox vs. Tigers over/under: 8
- Red Sox vs. Tigers run line: TBD
Top Red Sox vs. Tigers Predictions
After 10,000 simulations of Red Sox vs. Tigers, the model is going Over 8 combined runs. The line opened at 7, but went up a full run after Skubal was scratched, creating a far more hitter-friendly matchup.
SportsLine's model projects 2.0 total bases or more for Red Sox catcher Willson Contreras, and 1.5 total bases for five Tigers players, including Jahmal Jones (1.78) and Dillon Dingler (1.74). The model projects 9.3 combined runs as the Over hits in 54% of simulations.