American League contenders face off in a Wednesday matinee as Junior Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays take on Vladimir Guerrero and the Toronto Blue Jays. The Rays are chasing the New York Yankees in the AL East in second place, while the reigning AL pennant champions Blue Jays sit right behind in third.
Patrick Corbin (1-0, 3.65 ERA) starts for Toronto, while Shane McClanahan (3-2, 3.10) takes the ball for Tampa. First pitch from Tropicana Field in Tampa is set for 1:10 p.m. ET.
Betting Odds
Money Line: Rays -140 | Blue Jays +117
Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Run Line: Blue Jays +1.5 (-120) / Rays -1.5 (+100)
Prediction Analysis
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, is calling for the Over 7.5 combined runs. The Over is 9-3 for Toronto games when the line sits at 7.5 runs. The model projects a reversal of typical Rays contests, which have totaled six runs or less for nine straight games.
The model projects 9.6 combined runs as the Over hits in 68% of simulations.
Player Projections
SportsLine's model expects productive games from the top stars on each side:
- Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays): 1.92 average bases
- Vandy Diaz (Rays): 1.89 average bases
- Junior Caminero (Rays): 1.83 average bases