The 2026 NHL playoffs continue on Wednesday with a trio of contests, including Game 3 between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers won the first two games, both on the road, taking Game 2 on Monday by a 3-0 score.
Series Background
The teams split four regular-season matchups, also splitting their two in Philadelphia. This is the eighth series between the two in the Stanley Cup playoffs, with the Flyers holding a 4-3 series edge.
The puck drops at 7 p.m. ET from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. The latest Flyers vs. Penguins odds have Philly as the -117 favorite (risk $117 to win $100), while the over/under is 5.5.
Key Betting Trends
SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. The model enters the first full week of the 2026 NHL playoffs profitable on top-rated NHL picks this season, including a +550 return on top-rated money-line picks.
After 10,000 simulations of Flyers vs. Penguins, the model is going Under on the total (5.5). The first two games of this series both went under, with five total goals in Game 1 and just three in Game 2.
Why Under?
That continues a trend for the Flyers as each of their last four games have failed to surpass the total. Having Dan Vladar in net certainly helps as the Under has hit in 60% of games this season when he's the starting goalie.
Additionally, the Under has hit in 61% of the Flyers home games as this series shifts to Eastern Pennsylvania, while the Penguins have gone Under in three of their last four games following a defeat.
No player from either team is forecasted to have more than 0.43 goals, on average, as these two play to another low-scoring affair. The Under hits in 58% of simulations.
Betting Odds
Penguins vs. Flyers money line: Flyers -114, Penguins -106
Penguins vs. Flyers over/under: 5.5
Penguins vs. Flyers puck line: Penguins +1.5